Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 73%

Total Value

$8.3K

Combined PnL

$108.97

Smart Money Signal

Down

30 of 42 top traders (71%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down30 traders

Total Value$8.3K

Total Shares8,316

Combined PnL+$424.39

Up12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares887

Combined PnL-$315.42

Down — 71%Up — 29%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$1.2K	$1.2K	+$11.85	93% 24866-1838 (26704)
CR CrouchPredictions	Downavg 74.9¢	$843.41	$875.95	+$32.54	56% 15085-11833 (26918)
cryingbabydicer87	Downavg 99.5¢	$808.19	$811.87	+$3.68	48% 9289-10165 (19454)
QSQL	Downavg 94.4¢	$625	$662.35	+$37.35	61% 20-13 (33)
HC Hcrystallash	Downavg 95¢	$648.68	$643.83	-$4.85	29% 11004-26846 (37850)
ST stepahead	Downavg 70.9¢	$527.6	$512.96	-$14.64	55% 8761-7282 (16043)
0X 0x855e484854D1411B959dDffddA11A698566C5189-1780249997359	Downavg 87.5¢	$401.54	$448.59	+$47.05	52% 9133-8595 (17728)
GO GoodFallen	Downavg 70¢	$247.45	$353.29	+$105.85	56% 14156-11253 (25409)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Downavg 69.2¢	$268.8	$315.11	+$46.31	55% 15927-13256 (29183)
machinelearned	Downavg 67.6¢	$215.06	$318.19	+$103.13	55% 9108-7524 (16632)
PL ply-pm0	Downavg 80.4¢	$233.91	$277.17	+$43.26	50% 5727-5762 (11489)
10 1000monkeys	Downavg 74.4¢	$240.44	$238.09	-$2.35	60% 7816-5265 (13081)
BL blue.birds	Downavg 79¢	$195.03	$200	+$4.97	51% 10167-9750 (19917)
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894	Downavg 88¢	$286.88	$203	-$83.88	65% 15134-8146 (23280)
x-MoneyForWhiskas	Downavg 87.7¢	$176.4	$180	+$3.6	53% 17530-15791 (33321)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Downavg 87.4¢	$167.18	$161.38	-$5.8	55% 7933-6479 (14412)
ST std0	Downavg 89.1¢	$145.33	$150.73	+$5.4	67% 53356-26743 (80099)
GA gansinimen	Downavg 86.5¢	$106.65	$122.2	+$15.55	51% 17237-16746 (33983)
0X 0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877	Downavg 61.5¢	$92.8	$124.84	+$32.04	52% 7538-6896 (14434)
0X 0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670	Downavg 81¢	$112.96	$105.41	-$7.54	52% 13109-11920 (25029)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Downavg 92.4¢	$90.97	$78.22	-$12.75	48% 4685-5102 (9787)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100	Downavg 83.9¢	$71.41	$78.72	+$7.31	60% 12711-8474 (21185)
FairValueMachine<$100	Downavg 76.5¢	$63.9	$60	-$3.9	56% 12863-9909 (22772)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 89.9¢	$50.29	$55.92	+$5.63	64% 25897-14422 (40319)
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212<$100	Downavg 42¢	$19.88	$47.33	+$27.45	52% 7507-6938 (14445)

hoodquant

Down

Invested

$1,173.15

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$11.85

Record

93%

24866-1838 (26704)

CrouchPredictions

Down

Invested

$843.41

Value

$875.95

PnL

+$32.54

Record

56%

15085-11833 (26918)

cryingbabydicer87

Down

Invested

$808.19

Value

$811.87

PnL

+$3.68

Record

48%

9289-10165 (19454)

QSQL

Down

Invested

$625

Value

$662.35

PnL

+$37.35

Record

61%

20-13 (33)

Hcrystallash

Down

Invested

$648.68

Value

$643.83

PnL

-$4.85

Record

29%

11004-26846 (37850)

stepahead

Down

Invested

$527.6

Value

$512.96

PnL

-$14.64

Record

55%

8761-7282 (16043)

0x855e484854D1411B959dDffddA11A698566C5189-1780249997359

Down

Invested

$401.54

Value

$448.59

PnL

+$47.05

Record

52%

9133-8595 (17728)

GoodFallen

Down

Invested

$247.45

Value

$353.29

PnL

+$105.85

Record

56%

14156-11253 (25409)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down

Invested

$268.8

Value

$315.11

PnL

+$46.31

Record

55%

15927-13256 (29183)

machinelearned

Down

Invested

$215.06

Value

$318.19

PnL

+$103.13

Record

55%

9108-7524 (16632)

ply-pm0

Down

Invested

$233.91

Value

$277.17

PnL

+$43.26

Record

50%

5727-5762 (11489)

1000monkeys

Down

Invested

$240.44

Value

$238.09

PnL

-$2.35

Record

60%

7816-5265 (13081)

blue.birds

Down

Invested

$195.03

Value

$200

PnL

+$4.97

Record

51%

10167-9750 (19917)

0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894

Down

Invested

$286.88

Value

$203

PnL

-$83.88

Record

65%

15134-8146 (23280)

x-MoneyForWhiskas

Down

Invested

$176.4

Value

$180

PnL

+$3.6

Record

53%

17530-15791 (33321)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Down

Invested

$167.18

Value

$161.38

PnL

-$5.8

Record

55%

7933-6479 (14412)

std0

Down

Invested

$145.33

Value

$150.73

PnL

+$5.4

Record

67%

53356-26743 (80099)

gansinimen

Down

Invested

$106.65

Value

$122.2

PnL

+$15.55

Record

51%

17237-16746 (33983)

0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877

Down

Invested

$92.8

Value

$124.84

PnL

+$32.04

Record

52%

7538-6896 (14434)

0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670

Down

Invested

$112.96

Value

$105.41

PnL

-$7.54

Record

52%

13109-11920 (25029)

asdcaxz<$100

Down

Invested

$90.97

Value

$78.22

PnL

-$12.75

Record

48%

4685-5102 (9787)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100

Down

Invested

$71.41

Value

$78.72

PnL

+$7.31

Record

60%

12711-8474 (21185)

FairValueMachine<$100

Down

Invested

$63.9

Value

$60

PnL

-$3.9

Record

56%

12863-9909 (22772)

aaa221<$100

Down

Invested

$50.29

Value

$55.92

PnL

+$5.63

Record

64%

25897-14422 (40319)

0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212<$100

Down

Invested

$19.88

Value

$47.33

PnL

+$27.45

Record

52%

7507-6938 (14445)

Smart Money Signal

Down

30 of 42 top traders (71%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x06121083...5221a7

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793628600

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Down — $1.2K

+$11.85

CrouchPredictions

Down — $875.95

+$32.54

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $811.87

+$3.68

QSQL

Down — $662.35

+$37.35

Hcrystallash

Down — $643.83

-$4.85

stepahead

Down — $512.96

-$14.64

0x855e484854D1411B959dDffddA11A698566C5189-1780249997359

Down — $448.59

+$47.05

GoodFallen

Down — $353.29

+$105.85

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down — $315.11

+$46.31

machinelearned

Down — $318.19

+$103.13

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