Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
56
Down 64%
$11.5K
$-1.5K
Smart Money Signal
35 of 56 top traders (63%)21 hold an outcome priced under 50%29 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $3.5K | $3.5K | +$35 | 74% 103372-36608 (139980) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 54.5¢ | $760.47 | $919.09 | +$158.62 | 55% 15865-13222 (29087) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 68¢ | $1.0K | $816.47 | -$213.34 | 56% 15023-11796 (26819) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Downavg 61.3¢ | $567.06 | $809 | +$241.94 | 53% 7543-6769 (14312) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 56.4¢ | $511.95 | $679.09 | +$167.15 | 56% 14108-11217 (25325) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 48.7¢ | $565.65 | $602.62 | +$36.97 | 55% 6945-5713 (12658) |
 cryingbabydicer87 | Downavg 99¢ | $396 | $400 | +$4 | 46% 6086-7026 (13112) |
10 1000monkeys | Downavg 55.7¢ | $372.74 | $397.96 | +$25.23 | 61% 7761-5060 (12821) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR | Upavg 43.4¢ | $403.87 | — | -$403.87 | 53% 17476-15739 (33215) |
BL blue.birdsCTR | Upavg 35.9¢ | $320.17 | — | -$320.17 | 53% 4711-4105 (8816) |
0X 0x855e484854D1411B959dDffddA11A698566C5189-1780249997359CTR | Upavg 30.1¢ | $312.63 | — | -$312.63 | 52% 7497-7009 (14506) |
0X 0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877CTR | Upavg 22¢ | $512.86 | — | -$512.86 | 52% 7500-6861 (14361) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 68.2¢ | $338.39 | $348.99 | +$10.6 | 47% 1881-2131 (4012) |
13 13897651 | Downavg 56.1¢ | $196.35 | $350.3 | +$153.95 | 59% 7179-5059 (12238) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 83.8¢ | $305.98 | $317.69 | +$11.71 | 26% 8815-24906 (33721) |
SH Sharky6999 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $296.11 | $296.41 | +$0.3 | 98% 6976-171 (7147) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 55.4¢ | $204.5 | $249.99 | +$45.5 | 35% 19246-36311 (55557) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212 | Downavg 40¢ | $81.2 | $203 | +$121.8 | 52% 7458-6898 (14356) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Downavg 68.8¢ | $184.84 | $197.66 | +$12.83 | 54% 8401-7119 (15520) |
PL ply-pm0CTR | Upavg 38.2¢ | $196.98 | — | -$196.98 | 50% 5680-5734 (11414) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 48.2¢ | $170.71 | $182.03 | +$11.32 | 67% 100201-48634 (148835) |
 Atomforge | Downavg 92.3¢ | $130.13 | $140.92 | +$10.79 | 64% 4441-2454 (6895) |
 machinelearnedCTR | Upavg 14.4¢ | $176.57 | — | -$176.57 | 55% 9066-7485 (16551) |
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894 | Downavg 50¢ | $61.46 | $120 | +$58.54 | 65% 15078-8100 (23178) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 51.8¢ | $62.15 | $120 | +$57.85 | 56% 8529-6629 (15158) |
BoneOhioInvested
$3,465
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$35
Record
74%
103372-36608 (139980)
Invested
$760.47
Value
$919.09
PnL
+$158.62
Record
55%
15865-13222 (29087)
Invested
$1,029.81
Value
$816.47
PnL
-$213.34
Record
56%
15023-11796 (26819)
Invested
$567.06
Value
$809
PnL
+$241.94
Record
53%
7543-6769 (14312)
Invested
$511.95
Value
$679.09
PnL
+$167.15
Record
56%
14108-11217 (25325)
Invested
$565.65
Value
$602.62
PnL
+$36.97
Record
55%
6945-5713 (12658)
cryingbabydicer87Invested
$396
Value
$400
PnL
+$4
Record
46%
6086-7026 (13112)
Invested
$372.74
Value
$397.96
PnL
+$25.23
Record
61%
7761-5060 (12821)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTRInvested
$403.87
Value
—
PnL
-$403.87
Record
53%
17476-15739 (33215)
Invested
$320.17
Value
—
PnL
-$320.17
Record
53%
4711-4105 (8816)
Invested
$312.63
Value
—
PnL
-$312.63
Record
52%
7497-7009 (14506)
Invested
$512.86
Value
—
PnL
-$512.86
Record
52%
7500-6861 (14361)
Invested
$338.39
Value
$348.99
PnL
+$10.6
Record
47%
1881-2131 (4012)
Invested
$196.35
Value
$350.3
PnL
+$153.95
Record
59%
7179-5059 (12238)
Invested
$305.98
Value
$317.69
PnL
+$11.71
Record
26%
8815-24906 (33721)
Invested
$296.11
Value
$296.41
PnL
+$0.3
Record
98%
6976-171 (7147)
Invested
$204.5
Value
$249.99
PnL
+$45.5
Record
35%
19246-36311 (55557)
Invested
$81.2
Value
$203
PnL
+$121.8
Record
52%
7458-6898 (14356)
Invested
$184.84
Value
$197.66
PnL
+$12.83
Record
54%
8401-7119 (15520)
Invested
$196.98
Value
—
PnL
-$196.98
Record
50%
5680-5734 (11414)
Invested
$170.71
Value
$182.03
PnL
+$11.32
Record
67%
100201-48634 (148835)
AtomforgeInvested
$130.13
Value
$140.92
PnL
+$10.79
Record
64%
4441-2454 (6895)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$176.57
Value
—
PnL
-$176.57
Record
55%
9066-7485 (16551)
Invested
$61.46
Value
$120
PnL
+$58.54
Record
65%
15078-8100 (23178)
Invested
$62.15
Value
$120
PnL
+$57.85
Record
56%
8529-6629 (15158)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Down — $3.5K
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $919.09
CrouchPredictions
Down — $816.47
0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335
Down — $809
GoodFallen
Down — $679.09
stepahead
Down — $602.62
cryingbabydicer87
Down — $400
1000monkeys
Down — $397.96
x-MoneyForWhiskas
CTRUp — $0
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0