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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Resolved Down. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

21

Down 80%

Total Value

$3.8K

Combined PnL

-$190.67

Smart Money Signal

Down

16 of 21 top traders (76%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down16 traders
Total Value$3.8K
Total Shares3,849
Combined PnL+$366.18
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,123
Combined PnL-$556.85
Down — 76%Up — 24%
0X
0x50f7
Down

Invested

$2,233.29

Value

$2.2K

PnL

-$22.06

Record

59%

62677-43754 (106431)

CR
CrouchPredictions
Down

Invested

$581.97

Value

$679.88

PnL

+$97.91

Record

56%

14924-11728 (26652)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR
Up

Invested

$539.49

Value

—

PnL

-$539.49

Record

58%

38498-27579 (66077)

PL
ply-pm0
Down

Invested

$228.83

Value

$256.85

PnL

+$28.02

Record

50%

5585-5650 (11235)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14
Down

Invested

$60.75

Value

$100.37

PnL

+$39.62

Record

55%

18379-14972 (33351)

RE
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100
Down

Invested

$83.15

Value

$86.86

PnL

+$3.71

Record

60%

12586-8357 (20943)

PB
PBot-6
Down

Invested

$73

Value

$150

PnL

+$77

Record

58%

51349-37471 (88820)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$55.91

Value

$62.02

PnL

+$6.11

Record

66%

127109-65406 (192515)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$20.67

Value

$35.03

PnL

+$14.36

Record

64%

24882-13745 (38627)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$26.56

Value

$31.12

PnL

+$4.56

Record

61%

96050-60547 (156597)

machinelearned<$100
Down

Invested

$14.76

Value

$25

PnL

+$10.24

Record

55%

8967-7399 (16366)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Down

Invested

$25.25

Value

$30

PnL

+$4.75

Record

62%

44284-27268 (71552)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$26.4

Value

$64.26

PnL

+$37.86

Record

65%

126454-67593 (194047)

LI
Little-big<$100
Down

Invested

$21.5

Value

$50

PnL

+$28.5

Record

35%

19121-36132 (55253)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$17.55

Value

$45

PnL

+$27.45

Record

58%

61090-44611 (105701)

Atomforge<$100
Down

Invested

$9.39

Value

$12.24

PnL

+$2.85

Record

65%

4332-2383 (6715)

ohioismCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.75

Value

—

PnL

-$5.75

Record

64%

40639-23326 (63965)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$3.87

Value

$9.17

PnL

+$5.3

Record

52%

91321-85769 (177090)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$10.74

Value

—

PnL

-$10.74

Record

46%

38677-45770 (84447)

0X
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.88

Value

—

PnL

-$0.88

Record

55%

7793-6374 (14167)

AR
arcsine-barristerCTR<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

3698-2861 (6559)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x34bad153...231cd9
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1793564100

Traders in this Market

0X

0x50f7

Down — $2.2K

-$22.06
CR

CrouchPredictions

Down — $679.88

+$97.91
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Up — $0

-$539.49
PL

ply-pm0

Down — $256.85

+$28.02
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $100.37

+$39.62
RE

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down — $86.86

+$3.71
PB

PBot-6

Down — $150

+$77
AS

asdaefef

Down — $62.02

+$6.11
AA

aaa221

Down — $35.03

+$14.36
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $31.12

+$4.56
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