Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Down 48%
$4.1K
$48.93
Smart Money Signal
11 of 22 top traders (50%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$0.23 | 59% 62677-43754 (106431) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 80.5¢ | $428.15 | $502.11 | +$73.96 | 56% 14924-11728 (26652) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 87.9¢ | $216.52 | $194.12 | -$22.4 | 50% 5585-5650 (11235) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 69.4¢ | $101.41 | $146.08 | +$44.66 | 35% 19121-36132 (55253) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 79.2¢ | $57.77 | $72.93 | +$15.16 | 66% 127109-65406 (192515) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 91.5¢ | $44.46 | $48.59 | +$4.13 | 61% 96050-60547 (156597) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 87.2¢ | $39.5 | $45.31 | +$5.81 | 55% 18379-14972 (33351) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 51.6¢ | $25.67 | — | -$25.67 | 56% 8353-6485 (14838) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 72.2¢ | $27.45 | $22.79 | -$4.66 | 55% 7793-6374 (14167) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $9.64 | — | -$9.64 | 58% 61090-44611 (105701) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 29.4¢ | $9.93 | — | -$9.93 | 64% 24882-13745 (38627) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $7 | — | -$7 | 64% 40639-23326 (63965) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 58% 51349-37471 (88820) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $3.75 | $5 | +$1.25 | 65% 126454-67593 (194047) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 4.1¢ | $4.82 | — | -$4.82 | 46% 38677-45770 (84447) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 51% 20375-19462 (39837) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $3.5 | $5 | +$1.5 | 55% 8967-7399 (16366) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 65% 4332-2383 (6715) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 56% 58635-45291 (103926) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $1.45 | — | -$1.45 | 62% 44284-27268 (71552) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $1.19 | — | -$1.19 | 52% 91321-85769 (177090) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3698-2861 (6559) |
Invested
$3,017.78
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$0.23
Record
59%
62677-43754 (106431)
Invested
$428.15
Value
$502.11
PnL
+$73.96
Record
56%
14924-11728 (26652)
Invested
$216.52
Value
$194.12
PnL
-$22.4
Record
50%
5585-5650 (11235)
Invested
$101.41
Value
$146.08
PnL
+$44.66
Record
35%
19121-36132 (55253)
Invested
$57.77
Value
$72.93
PnL
+$15.16
Record
66%
127109-65406 (192515)
Invested
$44.46
Value
$48.59
PnL
+$4.13
Record
61%
96050-60547 (156597)
Invested
$39.5
Value
$45.31
PnL
+$5.81
Record
55%
18379-14972 (33351)
Invested
$25.67
Value
—
PnL
-$25.67
Record
56%
8353-6485 (14838)
Invested
$27.45
Value
$22.79
PnL
-$4.66
Record
55%
7793-6374 (14167)
Invested
$9.64
Value
—
PnL
-$9.64
Record
58%
61090-44611 (105701)
Invested
$9.93
Value
—
PnL
-$9.93
Record
64%
24882-13745 (38627)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$7
Value
—
PnL
-$7
Record
64%
40639-23326 (63965)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
58%
51349-37471 (88820)
Invested
$3.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.25
Record
65%
126454-67593 (194047)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$4.82
Value
—
PnL
-$4.82
Record
46%
38677-45770 (84447)
Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
51%
20375-19462 (39837)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$3.5
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.5
Record
55%
8967-7399 (16366)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
65%
4332-2383 (6715)
Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
56%
58635-45291 (103926)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.45
Value
—
PnL
-$1.45
Record
62%
44284-27268 (71552)
Invested
$1.19
Value
—
PnL
-$1.19
Record
52%
91321-85769 (177090)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3698-2861 (6559)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.0K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $502.11
ply-pm0
Down — $194.12
Little-big
Down — $146.08
asdaefef
Down — $72.93
asidjasiodja
Down — $48.59
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $45.31
wzbbb
CTRUp — $0
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $22.79
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp — $0