Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Up 65%
$1.7K
$23.45
Smart Money Signal
16 of 24 top traders (67%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 87.7¢ | $583.42 | $615.12 | +$31.7 | 56% 14924-11728 (26652) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 82.3¢ | $233.23 | $272 | +$38.77 | 55% 8967-7399 (16366) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 95.9¢ | $206.74 | $198 | -$8.74 | 64% 58907-33468 (92375) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $150.34 | $151.86 | +$1.52 | 93% 24319-1811 (26130) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 88.3¢ | $116.59 | $131.99 | +$15.4 | 55% 7793-6374 (14167) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $59.84 | — | -$59.84 | 56% 8353-6485 (14838) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 90.7¢ | $56.49 | $62.29 | +$5.8 | 55% 18379-14972 (33351) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Upavg 91.5¢ | $54.9 | $60 | +$5.1 | 50% 5585-5650 (11235) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $59.91 | $79.88 | +$19.97 | 58% 38498-27579 (66077) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 84.6¢ | $21.15 | $25 | +$3.85 | 58% 61090-44611 (105701) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $21.81 | $20 | -$1.81 | 64% 24882-13745 (38627) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $15.68 | $16.16 | +$0.48 | 61% 96050-60547 (156597) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $9.19 | — | -$9.19 | 35% 19121-36132 (55253) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $13.42 | $13.83 | +$0.41 | 52% 91321-85769 (177090) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $4.8 | — | -$4.8 | 55% 24178-19509 (43687) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 13.5¢ | $8.37 | — | -$8.37 | 56% 58635-45291 (103926) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $7.2 | $8.09 | +$0.89 | 66% 127109-65406 (192515) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $5 | $6.75 | +$1.76 | 65% 112572-59423 (171995) |
PA Parad0X<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $4.48 | $8 | +$3.52 | 56% 2301-1795 (4096) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.4¢ | $5.62 | — | -$5.62 | 46% 38677-45770 (84447) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.1¢ | $5.55 | — | -$5.45 | 60% 12586-8357 (20943) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $0.97 | — | -$0.97 | 59% 62677-43754 (106431) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $0.95 | — | -$0.95 | 64% 40639-23326 (63965) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3698-2861 (6559) |
Invested
$583.42
Value
$615.12
PnL
+$31.7
Record
56%
14924-11728 (26652)
machinelearnedInvested
$233.23
Value
$272
PnL
+$38.77
Record
55%
8967-7399 (16366)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$206.74
Value
$198
PnL
-$8.74
Record
64%
58907-33468 (92375)
Invested
$150.34
Value
$151.86
PnL
+$1.52
Record
93%
24319-1811 (26130)
Invested
$116.59
Value
$131.99
PnL
+$15.4
Record
55%
7793-6374 (14167)
Invested
$59.84
Value
—
PnL
-$59.84
Record
56%
8353-6485 (14838)
Invested
$56.49
Value
$62.29
PnL
+$5.8
Record
55%
18379-14972 (33351)
Invested
$54.9
Value
$60
PnL
+$5.1
Record
50%
5585-5650 (11235)
Invested
$59.91
Value
$79.88
PnL
+$19.97
Record
58%
38498-27579 (66077)
Invested
$21.15
Value
$25
PnL
+$3.85
Record
58%
61090-44611 (105701)
Invested
$21.81
Value
$20
PnL
-$1.81
Record
64%
24882-13745 (38627)
Invested
$15.68
Value
$16.16
PnL
+$0.48
Record
61%
96050-60547 (156597)
Invested
$9.19
Value
—
PnL
-$9.19
Record
35%
19121-36132 (55253)
Invested
$13.42
Value
$13.83
PnL
+$0.41
Record
52%
91321-85769 (177090)
Invested
$4.8
Value
—
PnL
-$4.8
Record
55%
24178-19509 (43687)
Invested
$8.37
Value
—
PnL
-$8.37
Record
56%
58635-45291 (103926)
Invested
$7.2
Value
$8.09
PnL
+$0.89
Record
66%
127109-65406 (192515)
Invested
$5
Value
$6.75
PnL
+$1.76
Record
65%
112572-59423 (171995)
Invested
$4.48
Value
$8
PnL
+$3.52
Record
56%
2301-1795 (4096)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$5.62
Value
—
PnL
-$5.62
Record
46%
38677-45770 (84447)
Invested
$5.55
Value
—
PnL
-$5.45
Record
60%
12586-8357 (20943)
Invested
$0.97
Value
—
PnL
-$0.97
Record
59%
62677-43754 (106431)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$0.95
Value
—
PnL
-$0.95
Record
64%
40639-23326 (63965)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3698-2861 (6559)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up — $615.12
machinelearned
Up — $272
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $198
hoodquant
Up — $151.86
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $131.99
wzbbb
CTRDown — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $62.29
ply-pm0
Up — $60
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $79.88
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $25