Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
24
Up 45%
$5.0K
$88.17
Smart Money Signal
11 of 24 top traders (46%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9Β’ | $3.3K | $3.3K | +$0.97 | 59% 62677-43754 (106431) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 79.2Β’ | $497.13 | $539.51 | +$42.38 | 56% 14924-11728 (26652) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 58Β’ | $323.52 | $557.9 | +$234.38 | 58% 38498-27579 (66077) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 68.3Β’ | $200.84 | $238.21 | +$37.37 | 50% 5585-5650 (11235) |
AS asdaefef | Upavg 80.5Β’ | $106.8 | $111.14 | +$4.34 | 66% 127109-65406 (192515) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 92.6Β’ | $76.05 | $75.91 | -$0.14 | 65% 126454-67593 (194047) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $79.07 | $69 | -$9.88 | 61% 96050-60547 (156597) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 78.5Β’ | $51.2 | $65.23 | +$14.02 | 55% 7793-6374 (14167) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 43Β’ | $44.62 | β | -$44.62 | 35% 19121-36132 (55253) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 42Β’ | $42 | β | -$42 | 62% 44284-27268 (71552) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.4Β’ | $32.21 | β | -$32.21 | 56% 8353-6485 (14838) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 66.3Β’ | $26.05 | $38.08 | +$12.03 | 64% 24882-13745 (38627) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100 | Downavg 41Β’ | $53.19 | β | -$53.19 | 60% 12586-8357 (20943) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 74.4Β’ | $25.05 | $30.77 | +$5.72 | 55% 18379-14972 (33351) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 42.2Β’ | $19 | β | -$19 | 64% 40639-23326 (63965) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 6.6Β’ | $7.98 | β | -$7.98 | 46% 38677-45770 (84447) |
![]() AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Downavg 43Β’ | $11.28 | β | -$11.28 | 65% 4332-2383 (6715) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 40.7Β’ | $8.59 | β | -$8.59 | 52% 91321-85769 (177090) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Downavg 41Β’ | $8.2 | β | -$8.2 | 55% 24178-19509 (43687) |
![]() machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Downavg 7Β’ | $4.91 | β | -$4.91 | 55% 8967-7399 (16366) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 43Β’ | $2.15 | β | -$2.15 | 58% 61090-44611 (105701) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 25.8Β’ | $18.89 | β | -$18.89 | 65% 112572-59423 (171995) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20375-19462 (39837) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Down | β | β | +$0 | 56% 3698-2861 (6559) |
Invested
$3,288.09
Value
$3.3K
PnL
+$0.97
Record
59%
62677-43754 (106431)
Invested
$497.13
Value
$539.51
PnL
+$42.38
Record
56%
14924-11728 (26652)
Invested
$323.52
Value
$557.9
PnL
+$234.38
Record
58%
38498-27579 (66077)
Invested
$200.84
Value
$238.21
PnL
+$37.37
Record
50%
5585-5650 (11235)
Invested
$106.8
Value
$111.14
PnL
+$4.34
Record
66%
127109-65406 (192515)
Invested
$76.05
Value
$75.91
PnL
-$0.14
Record
65%
126454-67593 (194047)
Invested
$79.07
Value
$69
PnL
-$9.88
Record
61%
96050-60547 (156597)
Invested
$51.2
Value
$65.23
PnL
+$14.02
Record
55%
7793-6374 (14167)
Invested
$44.62
Value
β
PnL
-$44.62
Record
35%
19121-36132 (55253)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$42
Value
β
PnL
-$42
Record
62%
44284-27268 (71552)
Invested
$32.21
Value
β
PnL
-$32.21
Record
56%
8353-6485 (14838)
Invested
$26.05
Value
$38.08
PnL
+$12.03
Record
64%
24882-13745 (38627)
Invested
$53.19
Value
β
PnL
-$53.19
Record
60%
12586-8357 (20943)
Invested
$25.05
Value
$30.77
PnL
+$5.72
Record
55%
18379-14972 (33351)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$19
Value
β
PnL
-$19
Record
64%
40639-23326 (63965)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$7.98
Value
β
PnL
-$7.98
Record
46%
38677-45770 (84447)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
$11.28
Value
β
PnL
-$11.28
Record
65%
4332-2383 (6715)
Invested
$8.59
Value
β
PnL
-$8.59
Record
52%
91321-85769 (177090)
Invested
$8.2
Value
β
PnL
-$8.2
Record
55%
24178-19509 (43687)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$4.91
Value
β
PnL
-$4.91
Record
55%
8967-7399 (16366)
Invested
$2.15
Value
β
PnL
-$2.15
Record
58%
61090-44611 (105701)
Invested
$18.89
Value
β
PnL
-$18.89
Record
65%
112572-59423 (171995)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20375-19462 (39837)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3698-2861 (6559)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up β $3.3K
CrouchPredictions
Up β $539.51
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $557.9
ply-pm0
Up β $238.21
asdaefef
Up β $111.14
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $75.91
asidjasiodja
Up β $69
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up β $65.23
Little-big
CTRDown β $0

G-Penis-Monster
CTRDown β $0