Known as drainedandpoor since Nov 14 2026 · Previously known as: drainedandpoor (Nov 9 – Nov 14 2026)
Consensus PnL -$25K · win rate 45% (20–24, n=44) · PM monthly #65 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-25.1K
Record
20W / 24L
Win Rate
45.0%
of 44 settled
Batting Avg
50.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1023
Source
PM monthly #65
Record (90 d)
20/44 · 45%
Trades
810
Markets
48
Volume
$552.4K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerSpirit $4.9K · now 13¢ · in at 53¢with the consensus (42% of 69)
Specialties
47 settled consensus markets · held side won 49% at an average entry of 48¢- NBA
+9 pts
side won 58% of 31 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +8%
Weakest: Esports — held side won 31% of 16 at an average 45¢ entry (−14 pts against the price), ROI −10%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 15%(won 14% of 7)
- 30–50¢: 26%(won 42% of 12)
- 50–70¢: 57%(won 59% of 27)
- 70¢ and up: 2%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.