PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
wisewisewind0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710cqssiick
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (1212–1267, n=2479)67% (151–73, n=224)59% (486–344, n=830)
Consensus PnL—$60K$309K$99K
Tracked asPM monthly #256Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #998Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)25% (3 of 12 open)73% (11 of 15 open)75% (40 of 53 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Geopolitics +12 pts n=445, ROI +4%
  • MMA +14 pts n=212, ROI +20%
  • NHL +14 pts n=95, ROI +17%
Weakest topic—Politics −6 pts, n=74—NFL −7 pts, n=19
Settled positions, side won—55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%70% of 341 at avg 64¢, ROI +5%68% of 1019 at avg 56¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—24% (won 19% of 254)20% (won 9% of 69)21% (won 22% of 209)
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 40% of 241)11% (won 47% of 36)14% (won 57% of 143)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 70% of 304)13% (won 69% of 45)30% (won 72% of 304)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 89% of 250)56% (won 96% of 191)36% (won 95% of 363)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketwisewisewind0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710cqssiick
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $21No $9.5KNo $20
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $820Yes $253
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $67—Yes $1