PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
viper0310rated0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188NiNo999
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (227–267, n=494)47% (125–143, n=268)88% (488–65, n=553)
Consensus PnL—-$1.8M$19.3M$9.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #950Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #715was PM monthly #985
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position44% (14 of 32 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +5 pts n=186, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
Weakest topic—MLB −2 pts, n=17College Basketball −12 pts, n=163—
Settled positions, side won—98% of 5076 at avg 92¢, ROI −32%50% of 1273 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 75% of 268)0% (won 0% of 5)7% (won 81% of 37)
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 65% of 62)42% (won 47% of 535)39% (won 85% of 197)
Entries 50–70¢—2% (won 90% of 100)57% (won 51% of 729)49% (won 94% of 244)
Entries 70¢ and up—92% (won 100% of 4646)0% (won 100% of 4)5% (won 96% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.