PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
taxmoneyshijiebeiyingshibei0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162calm919
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (150–176, n=326)95% (1081–60, n=1141)89% (226–28, n=254)
Consensus PnL—$178K$42K$14K
Tracked asPM monthly #897was PM monthly #715Hand-pickedPM monthly #754
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Science −5 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won—52% of 265 at avg 42¢, ROI +12%98% of 1366 at avg 95¢, ROI +1%92% of 239 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—47% (won 20% of 125)1% (won 29% of 17)0%
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 57% of 35)1% (won 69% of 13)11% (won 69% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 76% of 34)2% (won 80% of 30)32% (won 93% of 76)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 71)96% (won 99% of 1306)57% (won 96% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.