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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 2B9S | KAPWV | 0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd140 | 0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 10% (1470–12752, n=14222) | 46% (158–188, n=346) | 88% (35–5, n=40) | 50% (409–402, n=811) |
| Consensus PnL | $96K | $37K | $1.2M | $567K |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #997 | was PM monthly #77 | PM monthly #22 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (84 of 131 open) | no open consensus position | 26% (10 of 39 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tech −1 pts, n=594 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 4% of 11423 at avg 4¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 152 at avg 51¢, ROI +43% | 100% of 32 at avg 55¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 357 at avg 56¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 99% (won 3% of 11266) | 5% (won 71% of 7) | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 20) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 54% of 67) | 46% (won 94% of 70) | 47% (won 100% of 15) | 17% (won 98% of 59) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 75% of 20) | 34% (won 98% of 52) | 31% (won 100% of 10) | 63% (won 100% of 225) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 76% of 70) | 15% (won 100% of 23) | 22% (won 100% of 7) | 15% (won 100% of 53) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 2B9S | KAPWV | 0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd140 | 0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $186 | — | Yes $4 | — |