PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
stuttig0x39dec86bf03744359f839071cdd9a7d1adce7a1d0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff52814Parkan312
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (24–3, n=27)47% (157–176, n=333)82% (202–43, n=245)
Consensus PnL—$11K-$443K$31K
Tracked asPM monthly #491was PM monthly #999PM monthly #57was PM monthly #997
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +6 pts n=39, ROI +14%
  • Tennis +8 pts n=10, ROI +29%
Weakest topic——MLB −4 pts, n=14NHL −7 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 77¢, ROI +23%84% of 25 at avg 61¢, ROI +19%48% of 322 at avg 47¢, ROI 0%50% of 142 at avg 39¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢0%12% (won 67% of 3)16% (won 13% of 52)35% (won 29% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢0%16% (won 75% of 4)40% (won 45% of 128)37% (won 48% of 52)
Entries 50–70¢0%40% (won 90% of 10)33% (won 60% of 106)20% (won 72% of 29)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 88% of 8)11% (won 78% of 36)8% (won 92% of 12)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.