← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| stuttig | crazy-zebra | hi774c | tradecraft | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 44% (7–9, n=16) | 57% (3351–2542, n=5893) | 49% (2015–2122, n=4137) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $12K | $195K | $912K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #491 | was PM monthly #999 | PM monthly #112 | PM monthly #293 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 40% (4 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1 at avg 77¢, ROI +23% | 100% of 6 at avg 64¢, ROI +38% | 100% of 3066 at avg 48¢, ROI +48% | 57% of 2284 at avg 50¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 7% (won 100% of 226) | 31% (won 10% of 707) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 55% (won 100% of 1675) | 18% (won 47% of 401) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 50% (won 100% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 967) | 19% (won 77% of 426) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 33% (won 100% of 2) | 6% (won 99% of 198) | 33% (won 96% of 750) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.