PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (17–2, n=19)41% (1654–2418, n=4072)92% (213–18, n=231)
Consensus PnL—$29K$34K$434K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #977was PM monthly #888PM monthly #662PM monthly #901
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +39 pts n=11, ROI +36%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=13, ROI +49%
  • MLB +27 pts n=17, ROI −3%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won79% of 76 at avg 53¢, ROI +24%95% of 22 at avg 44¢, ROI +52%88% of 1060 at avg 58¢, ROI +16%98% of 335 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 57% of 7)9% (won 100% of 2)18% (won 59% of 190)3% (won 90% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 80% of 20)64% (won 93% of 14)19% (won 87% of 201)36% (won 98% of 120)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 76% of 37)27% (won 100% of 6)22% (won 93% of 238)59% (won 98% of 197)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 100% of 12)0%41% (won 99% of 431)2% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.