← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| stringXX | RN1 | LonnieHawkins | diceking | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 49% (7430–7830, n=15260) | 49% (1265–1326, n=2591) | 59% (228–160, n=388) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $13.4M | $331K | $68K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #977 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #115 | was PM monthly #957 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 71% (67 of 94 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 79% of 76 at avg 53¢, ROI +24% | 93% of 19836 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 77% of 1140 at avg 66¢, ROI +8% | 62% of 360 at avg 51¢, ROI +9% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 57% of 7) | 10% (won 51% of 2050) | 16% (won 31% of 184) | 1% (won 0% of 4) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 80% of 20) | 22% (won 93% of 4398) | 13% (won 60% of 146) | 25% (won 54% of 89) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 76% of 37) | 37% (won 99% of 7331) | 17% (won 77% of 192) | 74% (won 66% of 266) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 100% of 12) | 31% (won 100% of 6057) | 54% (won 94% of 618) | 0% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.