PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
solanaenjoyeravo-edge0xbbf379252411511ADAb081F016Dc991aA6bbAA3A-1768154730738Pitter
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (328–384, n=712)87% (516–77, n=593)49% (225–232, n=457)
Consensus PnL—$20K$759K$49K
Tracked asPM monthly #974was PM monthly #918was PM monthly #735Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +8 pts n=216, ROI +6%
  • MLB +10 pts n=57, ROI +6%
  • NBA +16 pts n=12, ROI +15%
  • Tennis +40 pts n=347, ROI +33%
  • Esports +42 pts n=292, ROI +40%
  • MLB +42 pts n=89, ROI +41%
  • Tennis +27 pts n=182, ROI +34%
Weakest topicEsports −3 pts, n=70——Politics −5 pts, n=52
Settled positions, side won48% of 400 at avg 42¢, ROI +4%93% of 363 at avg 52¢, ROI +33%90% of 709 at avg 56¢, ROI +38%36% of 1019 at avg 34¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 22% of 113)15% (won 64% of 53)2% (won 58% of 12)53% (won 6% of 545)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 46% of 152)37% (won 97% of 134)23% (won 87% of 166)13% (won 50% of 136)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 62% of 90)20% (won 96% of 71)66% (won 91% of 465)17% (won 65% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 87% of 45)29% (won 100% of 105)9% (won 94% of 66)16% (won 92% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.