← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| scootergene | NiNo999 | Rex416 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (340–259, n=599) | 89% (446–56, n=502) | 59% (2322–1582, n=3904) | 49% (7025–7367, n=14392) |
| Consensus PnL | $69K | $9.5M | $36K | $13.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #74 | was PM monthly #985 | PM monthly #247 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 78% (100 of 128 open) | 82% (14 of 17 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Tennis −4 pts, n=294 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 390 at avg 55¢, ROI +10% | 90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42% | 56% of 4201 at avg 56¢, ROI +1% | 92% of 20730 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 39% of 18) | 7% (won 81% of 37) | 28% (won 7% of 1156) | 10% (won 49% of 2167) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 77% of 135) | 39% (won 85% of 197) | 12% (won 36% of 520) | 22% (won 92% of 4547) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 88% of 171) | 49% (won 94% of 244) | 15% (won 61% of 611) | 36% (won 98% of 7502) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 98% of 66) | 5% (won 96% of 24) | 46% (won 90% of 1914) | 31% (won 100% of 6514) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.