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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| scootergene | NiNo999 | Rex416 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (340–259, n=599) | 89% (446–56, n=502) | 59% (2322–1582, n=3904) | 67% (450–220, n=670) |
| Consensus PnL | $69K | $9.5M | $36K | $9.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #74 | was PM monthly #985 | PM monthly #247 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 78% (100 of 128 open) | 75% (45 of 60 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Tennis −4 pts, n=294 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 390 at avg 55¢, ROI +10% | 90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42% | 56% of 4201 at avg 56¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 468 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 39% of 18) | 7% (won 81% of 37) | 28% (won 7% of 1156) | 11% (won 87% of 52) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 77% of 135) | 39% (won 85% of 197) | 12% (won 36% of 520) | 35% (won 98% of 162) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 88% of 171) | 49% (won 94% of 244) | 15% (won 61% of 611) | 32% (won 99% of 152) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 98% of 66) | 5% (won 96% of 24) | 46% (won 90% of 1914) | 22% (won 100% of 102) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | scootergene | NiNo999 | Rex416 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $915 | No $118K |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $881 | No $14K |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $6.2K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $90 | Yes $5.0K |