PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)57% (340–259, n=599)59% (1163–816, n=1979)59% (2322–1582, n=3904)89% (446–56, n=502)
Consensus PnL$69K$29K$36K$9.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #74PM monthly #653PM monthly #247was PM monthly #985
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position78% (99 of 127 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +17 pts n=739, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
Weakest topic——Tennis −4 pts, n=294—
Settled positions, side won84% of 390 at avg 55¢, ROI +10%71% of 743 at avg 54¢, ROI +19%56% of 4201 at avg 56¢, ROI +1%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 39% of 18)17% (won 23% of 126)28% (won 7% of 1156)7% (won 81% of 37)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 77% of 135)21% (won 60% of 153)12% (won 36% of 520)39% (won 85% of 197)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 88% of 171)40% (won 84% of 294)15% (won 61% of 611)49% (won 94% of 244)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 98% of 66)23% (won 95% of 170)46% (won 90% of 1914)5% (won 96% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.