PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x26AF7victor10070x16cbe223607a6513ae76d1e3751c78e4eabc2704PatienceCapital
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)61% (36–23, n=59)80% (992–253, n=1245)47% (40–46, n=86)
Consensus PnL$0$218$336K$475K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #987was PM monthly #871was PM monthly #979was PM monthly #269
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position88% (43 of 49 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +27 pts n=789, ROI +14%
  • F1 +20 pts n=143, ROI −13%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=88, ROI +1%
  • Soccer +46 pts n=24, ROI +43%
  • NBA +44 pts n=17, ROI +51%
Weakest topic——Politics −30 pts, n=14—
Settled positions, side won—77% of 47 at avg 58¢, ROI +10%91% of 1339 at avg 70¢, ROI +5%84% of 44 at avg 43¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 0% of 1)11% (won 60% of 149)14% (won 33% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢—26% (won 58% of 12)12% (won 85% of 165)39% (won 88% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢—47% (won 82% of 22)14% (won 93% of 192)48% (won 95% of 21)
Entries 70¢ and up—26% (won 92% of 12)62% (won 97% of 833)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.