PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sapocego23ic4creamqiu3texaskid
Record (consensus markets)no settled market61% (2442–1553, n=3995)89% (8–1, n=9)66% (367–187, n=554)
Consensus PnL—$574K$32K$7.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #516PM monthly #46was PM monthly #573was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29
Settled positions, side won—100% of 2100 at avg 59¢, ROI +40%98% of 43 at avg 57¢, ROI +37%75% of 566 at avg 53¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 100% of 34)5% (won 100% of 2)1% (won 0% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 100% of 495)26% (won 91% of 11)26% (won 68% of 148)
Entries 50–70¢—48% (won 100% of 1016)56% (won 100% of 24)69% (won 78% of 392)
Entries 70¢ and up—26% (won 100% of 555)14% (won 100% of 6)4% (won 87% of 23)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.