PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
puntobigbossBreakTheBankCORGIIsainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (501–606, n=1107)63% (379–224, n=603)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL—$12.1M$4.5M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #969PM monthly #1PM monthly #88was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (23 of 32 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 66 at avg 60¢, ROI +37%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 91% of 35)0%
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 94% of 16)35% (won 98% of 181)55% (won 99% of 209)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢55% (won 97% of 36)34% (won 99% of 176)34% (won 100% of 128)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up21% (won 100% of 14)20% (won 100% of 105)2% (won 100% of 7)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.