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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRN1white-rabbit
Record (consensus markets)50% (1120–1127, n=2247)47% (14272–15777, n=30049)45% (137–167, n=304)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$14.8M-$18K
Tracked asPM monthly #50PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #918
Sides with the consensus61% (11 of 18 open)46% (30 of 65 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)—
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5673)—
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9163)—
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmRN1white-rabbit
Spread: Arizona (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
TCU $7.6KArizona $621—
Spread: Arizona (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
TCU $2.0KArizona $788—
Spread: Arizona (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
TCU $537Arizona $2.0K—
Spread: Arizona (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
TCU $1.4KArizona $1.1K—
Spread: Arizona (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
TCU $521Arizona $848—
Spread: Arizona (-8.5)
same side · consensus Arizona
TCU $495TCU $1.5K—
TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $332Over $1.3K—