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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| primm | RN1 | verifly | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1127–1147, n=2274) | 48% (14338–15838, n=30176) | 34% (131–257, n=388) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $14.8M | -$299K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | was PM monthly #874 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (12 of 19 open) | 49% (29 of 59 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Esports −1 pts, n=404 |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 35% of 409 at avg 36¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 32% (won 21% of 129) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 55% (won 41% of 225) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 13% (won 43% of 54) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 0% (won 0% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | primm | RN1 | verifly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Arizona (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | TCU $9.1K | Arizona $579 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | TCU $2.7K | Arizona $2.9K | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | TCU $1.0K | Arizona $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | TCU $864 | Arizona $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | TCU $1.2K | Arizona $872 | — |
| TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $451 | Under $507 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-8.5) same side · consensus Arizona | TCU $834 | TCU $2.3K | — |
| TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 43.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $355 | Over $1.4K | — |