PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
poshposhLuckyWintexaskidRJW1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market88% (693–98, n=791)66% (367–187, n=554)65% (104–57, n=161)
Consensus PnL—$29K$7.0M$6.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #999was PM monthly #579was PM monthly #51was PM monthly #701
Sides with the consensus64% (9 of 14 open)80% (4 of 5 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +51 pts n=92, ROI +51%
  • NBA +54 pts n=13, ROI +54%
Weakest topic—NBA −7 pts, n=48College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29—
Settled positions, side won—88% of 738 at avg 88¢, ROI 0%75% of 566 at avg 53¢, ROI +19%98% of 106 at avg 47¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 8% of 48)1% (won 0% of 3)9% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢—4% (won 44% of 32)26% (won 68% of 148)36% (won 95% of 38)
Entries 50–70¢—7% (won 56% of 48)69% (won 78% of 392)55% (won 100% of 58)
Entries 70¢ and up—83% (won 99% of 610)4% (won 87% of 23)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.