← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| pnhct | kekasaur | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 46% (142–166, n=308) | 48% (11699–12471, n=24170) | 69% (43–19, n=62) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $1.6M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #787 | was PM monthly #686 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 75% (12 of 16 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Crypto −9 pts, n=99 | — | — | NBA −4 pts, n=96 |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 287 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 191 at avg 49¢, ROI +38% | 94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 216 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 7% of 56) | 2% (won 100% of 4) | 10% (won 56% of 2452) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 36% of 77) | 51% (won 92% of 97) | 22% (won 94% of 5319) | 29% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 61% of 100) | 46% (won 97% of 87) | 36% (won 99% of 8623) | 55% (won 53% of 118) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 83% of 54) | 2% (won 100% of 3) | 31% (won 100% of 7308) | 13% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.