← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| pnhct | beachboy4 | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 69% (43–19, n=62) | 48% (11699–12471, n=24170) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $5.8M | $13.4M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #787 | was PM monthly #24 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 75% (12 of 16 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Crypto −9 pts, n=99 | NBA −4 pts, n=96 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 287 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 57% of 216 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 7% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2452) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 36% of 77) | 29% (won 57% of 63) | 22% (won 94% of 5319) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 61% of 100) | 55% (won 53% of 118) | 36% (won 99% of 8623) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 83% of 54) | 13% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7308) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.