PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (46–28, n=74)86% (63–10, n=73)49% (225–232, n=457)
Consensus PnL—$22K$4.7K$49K
Tracked asPM monthly #879was PM monthly #904was PM monthly #900Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +23 pts n=20, ROI +39%
  • Esports +16 pts n=26, ROI +26%
  • NHL +4 pts n=12, ROI +17%
Weakest topic———Politics −5 pts, n=52
Settled positions, side won100% of 16 at avg 75¢, ROI +7%76% of 63 at avg 61¢, ROI +22%86% of 103 at avg 72¢, ROI +6%36% of 1019 at avg 34¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢0%5% (won 100% of 3)17% (won 39% of 18)53% (won 6% of 545)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 100% of 4)29% (won 44% of 18)9% (won 67% of 9)13% (won 50% of 136)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 100% of 2)30% (won 84% of 19)6% (won 100% of 6)17% (won 65% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up63% (won 100% of 10)37% (won 91% of 23)68% (won 100% of 70)16% (won 92% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.