PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pikachusplacesainttroplayRN100gringo00
Record (consensus markets)39% (75–119, n=194)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (11876–12683, n=24559)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$401K$4.4M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #299was PM monthly #11PM monthly #15 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position20% (1 of 5 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNBA −24 pts, n=32———
Settled positions, side won33% of 306 at avg 34¢, ROI −6%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 18% of 105)0%10% (won 56% of 2463)0%
Entries 30–50¢52% (won 35% of 158)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5333)0%
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 56% of 39)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8660)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 4)0%31% (won 100% of 7366)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.