PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
operationcastleEgorkasxxMEPPimnice
Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (46–28, n=74)65% (345–184, n=529)86% (63–10, n=73)
Consensus PnL—$22K$557K$4.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #896was PM monthly #904was PM monthly #959 + pinnedwas PM monthly #900
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position79% (65 of 82 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +23 pts n=20, ROI +39%
  • Esports +16 pts n=26, ROI +26%
  • NHL +4 pts n=12, ROI +17%
Weakest topic——Entertainment −18 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won—76% of 63 at avg 61¢, ROI +22%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%86% of 103 at avg 72¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 3)20% (won 14% of 151)17% (won 39% of 18)
Entries 30–50¢—29% (won 44% of 18)11% (won 34% of 82)9% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢—30% (won 84% of 19)19% (won 66% of 144)6% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up—37% (won 91% of 23)51% (won 93% of 390)68% (won 100% of 70)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.