← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| operationcastle | rabadabadoo | RN1 | RJW1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 62% (13737–8492, n=22229) | 49% (9610–10110, n=19720) | 65% (104–57, n=161) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $15K | $13.3M | $6.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #916 | was PM monthly #981 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #701 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 53% (17 of 32 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 85% of 7099 at avg 53¢, ROI +24% | 93% of 20810 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 106 at avg 47¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 3% (won 17% of 210) | 10% (won 53% of 2181) | 9% (won 100% of 10) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 23% (won 82% of 1610) | 22% (won 94% of 4645) | 36% (won 95% of 38) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 71% (won 88% of 5012) | 37% (won 99% of 7657) | 55% (won 100% of 58) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 4% (won 96% of 267) | 30% (won 100% of 6327) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.