PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nz7dontworrybaseballTyatsmrCORGII
Record (consensus markets)no settled market61% (110–70, n=180)62% (186–112, n=298)63% (372–216, n=588)
Consensus PnL—$49K$19K$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #934was PM monthly #824PM monthly #775PM monthly #168
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +43 pts n=110, ROI +44%
  • Mentions +39 pts n=17, ROI +63%
  • NFL +20 pts n=104, ROI +17%
  • Tech +30 pts n=19, ROI +40%
Weakest topic——Elections −3 pts, n=42—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 110 at avg 57¢, ROI +44%67% of 247 at avg 51¢, ROI +13%98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢—0%30% (won 19% of 74)9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 100% of 24)17% (won 59% of 41)55% (won 99% of 209)
Entries 50–70¢—73% (won 100% of 80)17% (won 93% of 42)34% (won 100% of 127)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 6)36% (won 98% of 90)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.