PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nortman170xc33a100b8362bc732e78cce28c99739f173b3da3std0calm919
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (179–23, n=202)95% (10382–509, n=10891)89% (226–28, n=254)
Consensus PnL—$474K$34K$14K
Tracked asPM monthly #354was PM monthly #974was PM monthly #985PM monthly #754
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +52 pts n=40, ROI +55%
  • MLB +48 pts n=75, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +51 pts n=32, ROI +49%
  • Crypto +45 pts n=5979, ROI +46%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 232 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%99% of 5979 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%92% of 239 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 100% of 20)1% (won 45% of 65)0%
Entries 30–50¢—40% (won 99% of 93)15% (won 98% of 885)11% (won 69% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—47% (won 100% of 110)78% (won 100% of 4649)32% (won 93% of 76)
Entries 70¢ and up—4% (won 100% of 9)6% (won 96% of 380)57% (won 96% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.