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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ndb1 | sainttroplay | soared | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (872–458, n=1330) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $4.4M | $15K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #25 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #217 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (95 of 130 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | sainttroplay | soared |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $78K | — | Yes $75K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $30K | — | No $91K |