Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1primmWewuzzy
Record (consensus markets)65% (885–467, n=1352)50% (1076–1085, n=2161)44% (7–9, n=16)
Consensus PnL$4.2M$3.5M-$5.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #49was PM monthly #481
Sides with the consensus82% (28 of 34 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −10 pts, n=132—Elections −7 pts, n=10
Settled positions, side won64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 955 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%24% of 17 at avg 37¢, ROI −56%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 16% of 160)5% (won 94% of 50)53% (won 11% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 40% of 253)41% (won 99% of 392)12% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 57% of 310)49% (won 99% of 469)24% (won 25% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 544)5% (won 100% of 44)12% (won 50% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.