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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1primmPT-S7
Record (consensus markets)63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)89% (408–52, n=460)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$3.6M-$73K
Tracked asPM monthly #95PM monthly #53PM monthly #821
Sides with the consensus72% (52 of 72 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=144——
Settled positions, side won64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 205 at avg 76¢, ROI +20%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 186)5% (won 94% of 51)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 267)41% (won 99% of 418)5% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 58% of 326)49% (won 99% of 504)20% (won 100% of 40)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 94% of 619)5% (won 100% of 47)74% (won 100% of 152)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.