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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | pizzabillgates | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 50% (3–3, n=6) | 50% (1105–1117, n=2222) | 48% (14109–15586, n=29695) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.2M | -$71K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #623 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (68 of 95 open) | 91% (31 of 34 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (94 of 147 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 50% of 8 at avg 40¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 50% (won 0% of 4) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 13% (won 100% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 0% | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 38% (won 100% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | pizzabillgates | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.7K | Yes $6.9K | — | — |