Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1WagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)66% (875–457, n=1332)96% (13202–565, n=13767)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$105K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #823
Sides with the consensus71% (95 of 133 open)0% (0 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +16 pts n=6775, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%98% of 6775 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 16% of 160)4% (won 73% of 240)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 252)9% (won 91% of 624)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 57% of 306)11% (won 97% of 755)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 540)76% (won 100% of 5156)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.