Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1SilentShark
Record (consensus markets)63% (993–578, n=1571)60% (135–90, n=225)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$27K
Tracked asPM monthly #96PM monthly #775
Sides with the consensus73% (53 of 73 open)25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%32% of 66 at avg 28¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 186)59% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 267)24% (won 38% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 58% of 326)12% (won 63% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 94% of 619)5% (won 33% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.