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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | Rhabarberbarbarbar | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (901–474, n=1375) | 56% (210–163, n=373) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.5M | $80K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #100 | was PM monthly #982 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (109 of 151 open) | 40% (4 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=10 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 57% of 371 at avg 56¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 18% (won 8% of 65) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 45% of 151) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 8% (won 66% of 29) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 34% (won 95% of 126) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | Rhabarberbarbarbar |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $356 | Yes $15 |