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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | Rhabarberbarbarbar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 56% (215–167, n=382) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.2M | $81K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #104 | was PM monthly #982 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (24 of 29 open) | 73% (81 of 111 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=10 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 57% of 371 at avg 56¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 18% (won 8% of 65) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 45% of 151) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 8% (won 66% of 29) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 34% (won 95% of 126) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | Rhabarberbarbarbar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $7 | Yes $993K | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | No $335K | — |