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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1NOO-YesprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)63% (989–573, n=1562)33% (2–4, n=6)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$3.2M-$19K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #90was PM monthly #417PM monthly #49PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (54 of 76 open)no open consensus position38% (3 of 8 open)54% (40 of 74 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=139———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%33% of 6 at avg 37¢, ROI +1%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 168)33% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 256)33% (won 50% of 2)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 58% of 314)33% (won 50% of 2)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 550)0%5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1NOO-YesprimmRN1
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $2.2KSouthern Miss $245
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $4Jaguars $2.0K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.8KOver $227
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $698Under $419
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $599Over $413
Spread: James Madison (-16.5)
same side · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $450James Madison $95