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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| JoeBlack01 | Ne8om | calm919 | noreasapa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (291–202, n=493) | 49% (133–138, n=271) | 88% (236–31, n=267) | 93% (3539–260, n=3799) |
| Consensus PnL | $73K | -$36K | $18K | $139K |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #372 | PM monthly #661 | was PM monthly #977 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (20 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) |
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| Weakest topic | Crypto −5 pts, n=48 | — | — | Science −3 pts, n=22 |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 614 at avg 60¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 118 at avg 54¢, ROI +43% | 92% of 246 at avg 71¢, ROI +21% | 93% of 3591 at avg 92¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 12% of 140) | 6% (won 100% of 7) | 0% | 6% (won 13% of 212) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 47% of 81) | 33% (won 100% of 39) | 11% (won 69% of 26) | 2% (won 51% of 55) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 78% of 86) | 45% (won 100% of 53) | 32% (won 94% of 78) | 1% (won 72% of 39) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 97% of 307) | 16% (won 100% of 19) | 58% (won 96% of 142) | 91% (won 100% of 3285) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.