PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
luckycat8888880xc33a100b8362bc732e78cce28c99739f173b3da3
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (179–23, n=202)
Consensus PnL—$474K
Tracked asPM monthly #658was PM monthly #974
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +52 pts n=40, ROI +55%
  • MLB +48 pts n=75, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +51 pts n=32, ROI +49%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won100% of 3 at avg 48¢, ROI +55%100% of 232 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%
Entries under 30¢0%9% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 99% of 93)
Entries 50–70¢67% (won 100% of 2)47% (won 100% of 110)
Entries 70¢ and up0%4% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.