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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lossx | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (265–125, n=390) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.6K | $4.6M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #959 | PM monthly #99 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 100% (7 of 7 open) | 55% (75 of 136 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Esports −2 pts, n=62 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 55% of 97 at avg 55¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 23% of 13) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 38% of 29) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 34% (won 61% of 33) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 86% of 22) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | lossx | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Central Michigan $4.2K | Eastern Michigan $2.0K |
| Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | — | Eastern Michigan $161 | Central Michigan $50 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Central Michigan $6 | Eastern Michigan $4 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-14.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Central Michigan $4.9K | Central Michigan $3.3K |