PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
lonmi25110xd1f5c3dda3fe8d21f592c5f4d241c69fa2e793f4dddtripsUsername2133
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (8–6, n=14)58% (472–338, n=810)47% (8–9, n=17)
Consensus PnL—$193$300K$79K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #894PM monthly #790was PM monthly #622PM monthly #480
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)100% (10 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • MMA +34 pts n=42, ROI +34%
  • MLB +32 pts n=67, ROI +32%
  • Mentions +24 pts n=261, ROI +24%
Weakest topic——Crypto −12 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won—92% of 25 at avg 91¢, ROI +2%73% of 615 at avg 50¢, ROI +20%100% of 36 at avg 76¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 50% of 2)29% (won 34% of 177)0%
Entries 30–50¢—0%12% (won 67% of 76)6% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢—0%28% (won 90% of 172)33% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 70¢ and up—92% (won 96% of 23)31% (won 95% of 190)61% (won 100% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.