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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| little-jerk | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 63% (1095–631, n=1726) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #118 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 57% (66 of 115 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | little-jerk | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $41 | Yes $97 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $296 | — | No $55K |