PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
liriks0xheavy888gt7238Sisyphus-
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (3608–2722, n=6330)46% (425–492, n=917)95% (472–26, n=498)
Consensus PnL—$442K$9.9K$465K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #979Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #975PM monthly #145
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (63 of 95 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=1542——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 5252 at avg 55¢, ROI 0%100% of 360 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%99% of 675 at avg 59¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 8% of 520)8% (won 100% of 27)2% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 30–50¢—28% (won 43% of 1451)52% (won 100% of 187)25% (won 98% of 167)
Entries 50–70¢—38% (won 61% of 2005)23% (won 100% of 82)48% (won 99% of 324)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 83% of 1276)18% (won 100% of 64)25% (won 100% of 170)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketliriks0xheavy888gt7238Sisyphus-
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus Invictus Gaming
—Hanwha Life Esports $54KInvictus Gaming $52—
LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus G2 Esports
—G2 Esports $2.6KTop Esports $1.3K—