PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
korandnikDebosnysdddtripsvfhjghj1231234
Record (consensus markets)no settled market91% (1259–124, n=1383)58% (472–338, n=810)89% (47–6, n=53)
Consensus PnL—$79K$300K$65K
Tracked asPM monthly #711Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #622PM monthly #271
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (37 of 46 open)67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MMA +34 pts n=42, ROI +34%
  • MLB +32 pts n=67, ROI +32%
  • Mentions +24 pts n=261, ROI +24%
Weakest topic—Weather −6 pts, n=50Crypto −12 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won90% of 69 at avg 62¢, ROI +31%91% of 1876 at avg 92¢, ROI +1%73% of 615 at avg 50¢, ROI +20%90% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 33% of 3)5% (won 9% of 92)29% (won 34% of 177)0%
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 93% of 15)2% (won 31% of 32)12% (won 67% of 76)22% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 87% of 23)3% (won 57% of 51)28% (won 90% of 172)68% (won 100% of 28)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 96% of 28)91% (won 98% of 1701)31% (won 95% of 190)10% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.