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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | ndb1 | sainttroplay | zwaaan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 52% (114–105, n=219) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $4.1M | $4.4M | $501 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #26 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #257 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 70% (26 of 37 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | Crypto −5 pts, n=58 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 53% of 126 at avg 52¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% | 21% (won 4% of 26) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 21% (won 19% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 75% of 36) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 0% | 30% (won 89% of 38) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | ndb1 | sainttroplay | zwaaan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $79K | — | Yes $1.2K |